Experts expect that the financial, but the following year to start oil crisis, the economic recovery which will be very slow.
After the economic crisis of the oil, because the world sources of "black gold" presušuju much faster than before pretpostavljala, announced the British "Independent". The newspaper stated that the oil crisis in 2010, but expected. year, which will prevent economic recovery in the world.
According to the writing of "Independent", the competent organization, but quickly make the strategy to overcome the oil crisis.
Supplies less
- The International Energy Agency (IEA) and Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) have made the analysis of future trends in the field of energy supply. In addition, the time of cheap oil has passed, and the following year, but demand will probably be greater than supply - says "Independent."
Chief economist Fatih Birol IEA believes that strange that the majority of the public and the government completely ignored the fact that oil reserves will soon be exhausted, and that global production will reach its peak about 10 years, at least a decade earlier than thought. He predicts that the market power of a few manufacturers, which have significant oil reserves, mostly in the Middle East, rapidly increase when the oil crisis started in 2010. year.
- One day oil will not be, it is not today or tomorrow, but one day the oil will disappear. We have to leave the fuel before he left us. We have to prepare. As soon as you start preparing, the better, because our entire economic and social system based on oil and should be seriously addressed - Birol warns.
Wars of sites
He added that the real crisis is expected in 2011. years old when they grow up demand for oil because it is not enough done to provide new resources that make up rapidly the reduction of existing oil fields.
- The crisis will feel consumers will be much more expensive fuel than now. This will be reflected on the economy. Many think that we will overcome the current crisis that year, but will be very slow and delicate. The process of recovery will be hampered increased oil prices - says Birol.
According to him, oil production has already reached its peak in the countries that are not members of a bricks-and era of cheap oil is finished. In most fields of oil production has reached its peak, which means that it must find other sources to meet demand.
- Even if the offer remains on the same level, the world will have to find an alternative for practically four of Saudi Arabia to maintain production and six Saudijskih Arabia to keep pace with the expected increase in demand, from now to 2030. year - says Birol.
He pointed out that this problem is particularly important in terms of geology, investment, and geopolitics, and that carries great risk.
Some experts believe that due to the lack of oil could soon outbreaks several wars in the world.
Activists for the preservation of nature fearful that when the exhausted oil reserves forced the government to be exploited and prljavije alternatives, such as large reserves katranskog the sand of the Alberti in Canada, which will be very harmful to the environment.
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